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Overvalued or Undervalued? 2025 Edition

Building on our Overvalued or Undervalued whitepapers in the past 3 years, let's explore how the relative affordability of each city/region has changed over 2024 to gain insights for 2025.

What You Could Learn

A clearer view of the market.

  • Which cities' affordability are improving and which are worsening?
  • How is the market pressure in Australia’s biggest property sub-markets?
  • Where is each of these sub-markets going in 2025?

Inside the report

30 pages of data-backed analysis. Zero fillers.

Here’s exactly what’s covered in this edition, so you know whether it’s worth your time before you download.

Choose a preview below or open the cover.
  1. Affordability Methodology

    How we assess relative affordability — mortgage serviceability vs. local incomes across multiple interest rate scenarios.

  2. Capital City Affordability

    Which capital city house markets have exceeded — or remain within — local borrowers' serviceability thresholds.

  3. Regional Market Affordability

    Affordability analysis of the 25 most populated regional cities — where relative value still exists.

  4. Market Pressure & Outlook

    Combining affordability with market pressure to identify which markets are well-positioned for growth.

A closer look

What the 2025 affordability review found

17.5%

8 of the 10 cities we rated undervalued in the last edition grew by double digits in 2024, averaging 17.5%.

1 of 8

Only Greater Darwin was rated undervalued among the capitals. Fast growth cut affordability most in Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth.

6 of 25

6 regional cities were undervalued at a 6.5% rate. 4 were hotspots in North Queensland and WA, and 2 were in Victoria.

In 2024, as the RBA cash rate remained high, Australia’s home values only rose by 4.9% in a year on average, compared to last year’s 8.1%, with 20%+ growth in the hottest markets, and declines in the coolest ones.
From the reportInvestorKit Research

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